In twenty years there will be fewer cars in use than there are today.
At first I should say that I totally disagree with the statement above.
To begin with, many countries in the world are still developing. The number of cars is growing along with their economic growth. For example, many families are too poor to afford a car in the past in China. The statistics show that several family possess only one car on average. Nowadays as the improving of people's quality of life, the number of families who can afford a car is increasing. This lead to the continuous increase in the car demand and consume. There is no sign show that this trend will reverse.
For those developed countries such as US, the population density is relatively low and each person in those countries possess higher per capita hold of resources. Many car-related problems existing in the developing countries such as congestion and high oil price are not a problem for them. For those people, car bring them a convenient life and yet, at the same time no much extra cost compared with public transportation. Who will change their mind and turn to take buses under this circumstance?
Last but not least, we can use bike or others as a substitute when going a short distance. But if comes to 10 miles or even longer, a car is necessary. There is still no good car substitute now.
Based on above reasons, I firmly believe that the car number will not drop in 20 years.
At first I should say that I totally disagree with the statement above.
To begin with, many countries in the world are still developing. The number of cars is growing along with their economic growth. For example, many families are too poor to afford a car in the past in China. The statistics show that several family possess only one car on average. Nowadays as the improving of people's quality of life, the number of families who can afford a car is increasing. This lead to the continuous increase in the car demand and consume. There is no sign show that this trend will reverse.
For those developed countries such as US, the population density is relatively low and each person in those countries possess higher per capita hold of resources. Many car-related problems existing in the developing countries such as congestion and high oil price are not a problem for them. For those people, car bring them a convenient life and yet, at the same time no much extra cost compared with public transportation. Who will change their mind and turn to take buses under this circumstance?
Last but not least, we can use bike or others as a substitute when going a short distance. But if comes to 10 miles or even longer, a car is necessary. There is still no good car substitute now.
Based on above reasons, I firmly believe that the car number will not drop in 20 years.